Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.015796 0.017646 0.019511 0.021526 0.023637 0.025777 0.028106
2025-04-13 0.011410 0.014197 0.017141 0.020452 0.024044 0.027799 0.031998
2025-04-20 0.009425 0.012822 0.016547 0.020860 0.025652 0.030760 0.036566
2025-04-27 0.007531 0.011251 0.015485 0.020523 0.026240 0.032436 0.039575
2025-05-04 0.005936 0.009815 0.014402 0.020005 0.026489 0.033620 0.041932
2025-05-11 0.004997 0.009053 0.014012 0.020198 0.027466 0.035547 0.045047
2025-05-18 0.004054 0.008167 0.013383 0.020038 0.027976 0.036896 0.047467
2025-05-25 0.003119 0.007167 0.012528 0.019537 0.028030 0.037678 0.049207
2025-06-01 0.002414 0.006388 0.011886 0.019239 0.028280 0.038649 0.051125
2025-06-08 0.001791 0.005627 0.011203 0.018843 0.028372 0.039404 0.052770
2025-06-15 0.001393 0.005156 0.010872 0.018860 0.028938 0.040693 0.055006
2025-06-22 0.000965 0.004530 0.010271 0.018492 0.029007 0.041374 0.056523
2025-06-29 0.000548 0.003816 0.009544 0.018008 0.029018 0.042101 0.058238
2025-07-06 0.000181 0.002937 0.008480 0.017038 0.028416 0.042113 0.059153
2025-07-13 0.000084 0.002704 0.008410 0.017413 0.029507 0.044150 0.062439
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.002233 0.007879 0.017104 0.029695 0.045077 0.064399
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001761 0.007264 0.016630 0.029639 0.045683 0.065960
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001551 0.007106 0.016807 0.030423 0.047308 0.068723
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001269 0.006750 0.016661 0.030762 0.048372 0.070807
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000939 0.006212 0.016202 0.030660 0.048874 0.072200
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000702 0.005814 0.015931 0.030791 0.049652 0.073915
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000485 0.005379 0.015569 0.030780 0.050237 0.075386
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000369 0.005185 0.015584 0.031280 0.051459 0.077622